Schedule for: 17w5107 - Challenges in the Statistical Modeling of Stochastic Processes for the Natural Sciences

Beginning on Sunday, July 9 and ending Friday July 14, 2017

All times in Banff, Alberta time, MDT (UTC-6).

Sunday, July 9
16:00 - 17:30 Check-in begins at 16:00 on Sunday and is open 24 hours (Front Desk - Professional Development Centre)
17:30 - 19:30 Dinner (Vistas Dining Room)
20:00 - 21:00 Informal gathering (Corbett Hall Lounge (CH 2110))
Monday, July 10
07:00 - 08:45 Breakfast (Vistas Dining Room)
08:45 - 09:00 Introduction and Welcome by BIRS Station Manager (TCPL 201)
09:00 - 10:00 Session in honour of Peter Guttorp (Chair: Peter Craigmile) (TCPL 201)
09:00 - 09:20 Richard Lockhart: Room-mate Research Reminiscences (TCPL 201)
09:20 - 09:40 Paul Sampson: Peter Guttorp: Friend and Colleague through Many Adventures — inside and outside the walls of academia (TCPL 201)
09:40 - 10:00 Thordis Thorarinsdottir: If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough (TCPL 201)
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
10:30 - 12:00 Applications: Hydrology, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science (Chair: Jennifer Hoeting) (TCPL 201)
10:30 - 11:00 Efi Foufoula-Georgiou: Challenges and progress in estimating precipitation from space for hydrologic applications (TCPL 201)
11:00 - 11:30 Sam Shen: Atmospheric and Oceanic Data Visualization and Delivery (TCPL 201)
11:30 - 12:00 Peter Guttorp: Climate and statistics (TCPL 201)
12:00 - 13:00 Lunch (Vistas Dining Room)
13:00 - 14:00 Guided Tour of The Banff Centre (Corbett Hall Lounge (CH 2110))
14:00 - 14:20 Group Photo (TCPL Foyer)
14:20 - 14:50 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
14:50 - 16:50 More applications: Hydrology, and Agriculture (Chair: Alexandra Schmidt) (TCPL 201)
14:50 - 15:20 Paul Whitfield: Assessing hydrological and climatological models against observations (TCPL 201)
15:20 - 15:50 Grace Chiu: Longitudinal modelling of crop root physiology as a breed-specific spatial response to environmental conditions (TCPL 201)
15:50 - 16:00 Short break (TCPL Foyer)
16:00 - 17:30 Talks to motivate breakout sessions (Chair: Wendy Meiring) (TCPL 201)
16:00 - 16:30 Jennifer Hoeting: Statistical parameter estimation and inference for dynamical models (motivate breakout A) (TCPL 201)
16:30 - 17:00 Michael Stein: Sources of variation in spatial-temporal processes (motivate breakout C) (TCPL 201)
17:00 - 17:30 Aila Särkkä: Challenges in spatial point pattern analysis (motivate breakout E) (TCPL 201)
17:30 - 19:30 Dinner (Vistas Dining Room)
Tuesday, July 11
07:00 - 09:00 Breakfast (Vistas Dining Room)
09:00 - 10:30 Applications: Medical and Biological applications (Chair: Richard Lockhart) (TCPL 201)
09:00 - 09:30 Janis Abkowitz: Describing blood cell differentiation with stochastic methods: biological insights (TCPL 201)
09:30 - 10:00 Jason Xu: Stochastic Compartmental Modeling and Inference with Biological Applications (TCPL 201)
10:00 - 10:30 Vladimir Minin: Statistical analysis of compartmental models: epidemiology, molecular biology, and everything in between (Talk to motivate Breakout B) (TCPL 201)
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
11:00 - 12:00 Breakout A. Statistical parameter estimation and inference for dynamical models (Moderator: Jennifer Hoeting) (TCPL 202)
11:01 - 12:00 Breakout B. Statistical and computational challenges posed by partially observed compartmental models (Moderator: Vladimir Minin) (TCPL 107)
11:02 - 12:00 Breakout C. Spatio-temporal modeling 1 (Moderators: Michael Stein and Paul Sampson) (TCPL 201)
12:00 - 13:30 Lunch (Vistas Dining Room)
13:30 - 14:00 Vladimir Minin: Report back from Breakout sessions A, B and C (Hoeting; Minin; Stein and Sampson) (TCPL 201)
14:00 - 15:00 Two talks to motivate breakout sessions (Chair: Debashis Mondal) (TCPL 201)
14:00 - 14:30 Alexandra Mello Schmidt: Non-Gaussian processes (motivate breakout D) (TCPL 201)
14:30 - 15:00 Finn Lindgren: A case study in hierarchical space-time modelling (motivate breakout F) (TCPL 201)
15:00 - 15:30 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
15:30 - 16:30 Breakout D. Non-Gaussian processes (Moderator: Alexandra Schmidt) (TCPL 202)
15:31 - 16:30 Breakout E. Spatial point processes (Moderator: Aila Särkkä) (TCPL 107)
15:32 - 16:30 Breakout F. Spatio-temporal modeling 2 (Moderators: Finn Lindgren and Wendy Meiring) (TCPL 201)
16:30 - 17:00 Wendy Meiring: Report back from Breakout sessions J, K and L (Schmidt; Särkkä; Meiring and Lindgren) (TCPL 201)
17:30 - 19:30 Dinner (Vistas Dining Room)
19:30 - 21:00 Poster session (TCPL Lobby)
19:30 - 19:31 Jim Faulkner: Locally Adaptive Spatial Smoothing with Shrinkage Prior Markov Random Fields (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
19:31 - 19:32 Shreyan Ganguly: Estimation of Locally Stationary Processes and its Application to Climate Modeling (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
19:32 - 19:33 Josh Hewitt: Remote effects spatial process models for modeling teleconnections (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
19:33 - 19:34 Mikael Kuusela: Locally stationary spatio-temporal interpolation of Argo profiling float data (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
19:34 - 19:35 Johnny Paige: A fault in time and space: Spatial models for past and future Cascadia earthquakes (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
19:35 - 19:36 Trevor Ruiz: Sparse Estimation in High-dimensional Time Series (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
19:36 - 19:37 Max Schneider: Whose Fault Is It Anyway? (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
19:37 - 19:38 Tyler Tucker: Snow-Man: A method of gathering snow and ice time series (Poster) (TCPL Lobby)
Wednesday, July 12
07:00 - 09:00 Breakfast (Vistas Dining Room)
09:00 - 10:00 Panel on spatio-temporal modeling (Finn Lindgren, Alexandra Schmidt and Michael Stein, Moderator: Paul Sampson) (TCPL 201)
10:00 - 10:30 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
10:30 - 12:00 Talks to motivate breakout discussions G and L (Chair: Vladimir Minin) (TCPL 201)
10:30 - 11:00 Jonas Wallin: Multivariate Type-G Matérn fields (TCPL 201)
11:00 - 11:30 David Bolin: Quantifying the uncertainty of contour maps (motivate Breakout G) (TCPL 201)
11:30 - 12:00 Efi Foufoula-Georgiou: Modern approaches to climate and hydrological data analysis and modeling (motivate Breakout L) (Joint with Sam Shen) (TCPL 201)
12:00 - 13:30 Lunch (Vistas Dining Room)
13:30 - 17:30 Free Afternoon (Banff National Park)
17:30 - 19:30 Dinner (Vistas Dining Room)
Thursday, July 13
07:00 - 09:00 Breakfast (Vistas Dining Room)
09:00 - 10:30 The challenge of communicating advances in and applications of stochastic modeling in the natural sciences (Chair: Peter Guttorp) (TCPL 201)
09:00 - 09:30 Thordis Thorarinsdottir: I don't know this, are you sure you want to do this? (TCPL 201)
09:30 - 10:00 James Zidek: Uncertainty in the World of Post Normal Science (TCPL 201)
10:00 - 10:30 Georg Lindgren: The importance of being Ernest, a trivial comedy for serious people (TCPL 201)
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
11:00 - 12:00 Breakout G. Ideas in visualization (Moderator: David Bolin) (TCPL 202)
11:01 - 12:00 Breakout H. Communicating science to decision makers (Moderator: Richard Lockhart) (TCPL 107)
11:02 - 12:00 Breakout I. Popular Science (Moderator: Peter Guttorp) (TCPL 201)
12:00 - 13:30 Lunch (Vistas Dining Room)
13:30 - 14:00 Richard Lockhart: Report back from Breakout sessions G, H, and I (Bolin; Lockhart; Guttorp) (TCPL 201)
14:00 - 15:00 Talks to motivate Breakout sessions J and K (Chair: Georg Lindgren) (TCPL 201)
14:00 - 14:30 Donald Percival: Modeling in Transformed Domains: Overview and Generalizations (motivates Breakout J) (with Debashis Mondal) (TCPL 201)
14:30 - 15:00 Holger Rootzen: Quantifying risk in a changing climate (Motivates Breakout K) (TCPL 201)
15:00 - 15:30 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
15:30 - 16:30 Breakout J. Modeling in Transformed Domains: Future Directions (Moderators: Debashis Mondal and Donald Percival) (TCPL 202)
15:31 - 16:30 Breakout K. Extremes (Moderators: Holger Rootzen and Thordis Thorarinsdottir) (TCPL 107)
15:32 - 16:30 Breakout L. Modern approaches to climate and hydrological data analysis and modeling (Moderators: Efi Foufoula-Georgiou and Sam Shen) (TCPL 201)
16:30 - 17:00 Debashis Mondal: Report back from Breakout sessions J, K and L (Mondal and Percival; Rootzen and Thorarinsdottir; Foufoula-Georgiou and Shen) (TCPL 201)
17:30 - 19:30 Dinner (Vistas Dining Room)
Friday, July 14
07:00 - 09:00 Breakfast (Vistas Dining Room)
09:00 - 10:00 Wrap up meeting (organizing committee) (TCPL 201)
10:30 - 11:00 Coffee Break (TCPL Foyer)
11:30 - 12:00 Checkout by Noon (Front Desk - Professional Development Centre)
12:00 - 13:30 Lunch from 11:30 to 13:30 (Vistas Dining Room)